Briefings & Analysis
Analysis from the SRM Research Team: the African context in general, the Great Lakes crisis in particular, eastern DRC at the centre.
Is Congo's Hunger a Food Crisis, or a Crisis of Access, Protection and Trust?
28.8 million people face high acute food insecurity through December. The drivers are conflict, displacement and blocked access, and the answer runs through shared livelihoods, not tonnage alone.
Sudan: If the Guns Stopped Tomorrow, What Would People Return To?
8.59 million people are displaced and 5.27 million have returned to places that often cannot sustain them. Rebuilding shared markets, water and land access decides whether return holds.
Can the Central Sahel Feed Its People When the Roads Themselves Have Become the Front Line?
3.8 million people are uprooted across Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger, and hunger follows the roads an armed group can close. Farmer and herder livelihoods rebuilt together are the way back.
The Gold That Pays for War: Inside the ADF's Self-Financing Insurgency
How conflict gold replaced the Islamic State's money, the corridor from Manguredjipa to Mambasa, and why five years of Operation Shujaa have dispersed the ADF without defeating it.
Eastern DRC: A New Armed Coalition, a Verification Gap, and the Humanitarian Stakes
The FRN of Joseph Kabila, the gap between signed commitments and the ground, and what humanitarian actors should watch next.
Daily Security Briefing 2026-141
Consolidated open-source intelligence across geopolitical, health security, and operational threat domains in the Great Lakes and Africa.
Sénégal: Three Scenarios
Scenario intelligence flash: two institutions decapitated, one country at a crossroads, and a Sahel watching every move.
Sénégal: Fracture au Sommet & Implications Régionales
Fracture at the summit in Dakar and its regional implications, in French and English.
Ebola DRC 2026: Security Risk Matrix
A security risk matrix for the DRC Ebola outbreak: health security read as operational risk.